GeoOdds

Daily briefing · September 12, 2026

What moved in world markets — September 12, 2026

  1. 01

    Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

    48%+19.0pp24h

    Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? moved +19.0pp in the last 24 hours to 48% on $135.4K of volume.

    $135K traded in 24h · live odds →

  2. 02

    US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

    87%+12.5pp24h

    US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) moved +12.5pp in the last 24 hours to 87% on $147.5K of volume.

    $148K traded in 24h · live odds →

  3. 03

    Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

    20%+7.5pp24h

    Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? moved +7.5pp in the last 24 hours to 20% on $26.3K of volume.

    $26K traded in 24h · live odds →

  4. 04

    Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

    21%-7.0pp24h

    Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? moved -7.0pp in the last 24 hours to 21% on $291.4K of volume.

    $291K traded in 24h · live odds →

  5. 05

    Iowa Senate Election Winner

    62%-4.5pp24h

    Iowa Senate Election Winner moved -4.5pp in the last 24 hours to 62% on $34.6K of volume.

    $35K traded in 24h · live odds →

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