GeoOdds

Biggest Movers

Markets ranked by 24-hour probability swing — where the news actually changed traders’ minds. Green means the odds rose; red means they fell.

#MarketProbability24h change24h volume
1Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory>99%+98.1pp$385K
2Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory93%+75.5pp$669K
3Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá96%+68.1pp$103K
4Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas99%+34.5pp$41K
5Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad>99%+22.6pp$106K
6Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará99%+11.0pp$20K
7France declares state of emergency by...?9%-6.5pp$207K
8Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?89%+6.5pp$6K
9TX-15 House Election Winner81%-5.5pp$5K
10PA-01 House Election Winner56%-3.0pp$16K
11FL-14 House Election Winner66%-3.0pp$339
12Will Israel election happen as scheduled?97%+2.9pp$12K
13Spain General Election Winner79%+2.0pp$19K
14Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?65%-1.7pp$10K
15NY-17 House Election Winner61%-1.5pp$5K
16New Taipei Mayor Election Winner54%-1.5pp$1K
17How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?31%+1.2pp$2K
18US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?79%+1.0pp$37K
19Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?66%-1.0pp$1K
20Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?64%+0.5pp$510
21KY-06 House Election Winner53%+0.5pp$402
22MO-02 House Election Winner63%+0.5pp$105
23New Mexico Governor Election Winner95%-0.5pp$2K
24WI-07 House Election Winner95%-0.5pp$4
25CA-06 House Election Winner97%+0.4pp$172
26France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?1%+0.3pp$12K
27NY-23 House Election Winner96%-0.3pp—
28Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?64%-0.3pp$2K
29Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?66%-0.3pp$3K
30Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory98%-0.2pp$1K

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