GeoOdds

Biggest Movers

Markets ranked by 24-hour probability swing — where the news actually changed traders’ minds. Green means the odds rose; red means they fell.

#MarketProbability24h change24h volume
1Will Trump visit Pakistan by...?13%+10.3pp$970
2Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?79%+7.0pp$181K
3Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?1%-4.7pp$589K
4Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?88%+4.0pp$51K
5Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?20%+3.5pp$9K
6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?18%-2.5pp$1.0M
7Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?13%+2.0pp$9K
8Will Neymar play in the World Cup?92%-2.0pp$28K
92027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?17%-1.5pp$5K
10Will Russia capture Lyman by...?7%-1.5pp$5K
11Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?17%+1.5pp$490
12Will US withdraw from NATO by...?5%-1.2pp$7K
13Bank of Japan Decision in June?99%+1.0pp$27K
14Wisconsin Governor Election Winner80%+1.0pp$13
15Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?10%-1.0pp$418K
16Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?13%-1.0pp$107K
17Will Russia capture Sumy by...?14%-1.0pp$450
18Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?99%+0.4pp$19K
19Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?1%-0.4pp$1.1M
20Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?6%-0.3pp$4K
21Xi Jinping out before 2027?8%+0.2pp$31K
22Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?6%+0.2pp$29K
23Xi Jinping out by June 30?<1%-0.1pp$54K
24Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?<1%-0.1pp$19K
25Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?94%+0.1pp
26Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?<1%-0.1pp$3K
27Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?2%-0.1pp$37K
28Peru Senate Election Winner99%0.0pp
29Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory56%0.0pp$9K
30WV-02 House Election Winner96%0.0pp