Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Odds
$7.8M total volume$123K 24hResolves by December 31, 2025Polymarket, 10-min refresh
95%implied chance
+1.2pp24h
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
last 24h
Probability over time
Odds by deadline
| Outcome | Resolves by | Probability | American |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 31, 2026 | July 31, 2026 | 43% | +135 |
| August 31, 2026 | August 31, 2026 | 75% | -292 |
| September 30, 2026 | September 30, 2026 | 88% | -700 |
| December 31, 2026 | December 31, 2026 | 95% | -1787 |
- Implied
- 94.7%
- American
- -1787
- Decimal
- 1.06
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 95% — roughly -1787 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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