Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Odds
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
last 24h
Probability over time
Odds by deadline
| Outcome | Resolves by | Probability | American |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | January 1, 2027 | 5% | +2122 |
- Implied
- 4.5%
- American
- +2122
- Decimal
- 22.22
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 5% — roughly +2122 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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