GeoOdds

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? Odds

$112K total volume$5K 24hResolves by April 17, 2027Polymarket, 10-min refresh
17%implied chance
-1.0pp24h

Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

last 24h

Probability over time

Odds by deadline

OutcomeResolves byProbabilityAmerican
Nathalie ArthaudApril 17, 202778%-355
Jérôme GuedjApril 17, 202710%+953
Delphine BathoApril 17, 20278%+1233
Michel-Edouard LeclercApril 17, 20279%+1076
Karim BouamraneApril 17, 202716%+525
Philippe de VilliersApril 17, 20279%+1076
Manuel VallsApril 17, 20275%+1900
Matthieu PigasseApril 17, 202717%+506
Bally BagayokoApril 17, 20276%+1670
Juan BrancoApril 17, 202716%+545
Teddy RinerApril 17, 20273%+3025
Marine Le PenApril 17, 202722%+365
Jordan BardellaApril 17, 202776%-317
Éric ZemmourApril 17, 202779%-365
Édouard PhilippeApril 17, 202779%-365
David LisnardApril 17, 202756%-127
Xavier BertrandApril 17, 202714%+590
Laurent WauquiezApril 17, 20273%+3674
François RuffinApril 17, 202723%+344
Gabriel AttalApril 17, 202742%+138
Bruno RetailleauApril 17, 202771%-239
François HollandeApril 17, 202733%+203
Raphaël GlucksmannApril 17, 202734%+194
Jean-Luc MélenchonApril 17, 202792%-1076
Marine TondelierApril 17, 202733%+208
Fabien RousselApril 17, 202757%-135
Olivier FaureApril 17, 20277%+1329
Dominique de VillepinApril 17, 202733%+203
Ségolène RoyalApril 17, 202711%+809
François AsselineauApril 17, 202724%+317
Clémentine AutainApril 17, 20275%+1842
Nicolas Dupont-AignanApril 17, 202753%-111
Michel BarnierApril 17, 20272%+3982
Valérie PécresseApril 17, 20277%+1289
François BayrouApril 17, 202722%+357
Élisabeth BorneApril 17, 20273%+3290
Yaël Braun-PivetApril 17, 20276%+1500
Jean CastexApril 17, 202710%+885
Gérald DarmaninApril 17, 202711%+826
Carole DelgaApril 17, 202710%+900
Bernard CazeneuveApril 17, 202711%+809
Manuel BompardApril 17, 20279%+1011
Mathilde PanotApril 17, 20274%+2678
Sarah KnafoApril 17, 202738%+167
Sébastien LecornuApril 17, 20277%+1329
Jean-Michel FauvergueApril 17, 20277%+1438
Implied
16.5%
American
+506
Decimal
6.06
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 17% — roughly +506 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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