2028 Presidential Election Odds — Live Probabilities

The longest-running markets in politics: who wins the 2028 presidential election, and who the parties nominate. Even before the 2026 midterms resolve, eight-figure volume sits on contracts tracking JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer, and a long tail of dark horses. This hub aggregates nominee markets, party-winner contracts, and the structural questions traders argue about — third-term chatter, open-convention scenarios, and how midterm results reprice the 2028 field overnight. Odds shift constantly as 2028 positioning breaks into the open.