2028 Presidential Election Odds — Live Probabilities
The longest-running markets in politics: who wins the 2028 presidential election, and who the parties nominate. Even before the 2026 midterms resolve, eight-figure volume sits on contracts tracking JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer, and a long tail of dark horses. This hub aggregates nominee markets, party-winner contracts, and the structural questions traders argue about — third-term chatter, open-convention scenarios, and how midterm results reprice the 2028 field overnight. Odds shift constantly as 2028 positioning breaks into the open.
Tracked markets
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
92%Leader: Lula da Silva 2-4%
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
63%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
92%Leader: Iotova <10%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
94%Leader: Lula da Silva <4%
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
3%Mathilde Panot
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
10%Leader: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?
>99%Leader: 39%+
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?
>99%Leader: 2-4%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
>99%Leader: Flavio Bolsonaro
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
15%David Lisnard
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
70%Leader: Bola Tinubu
Zambia Presidential Election Winner
>99%Leader: Hakainde Hichilema
- Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory
- 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Peru Presidential Election Winner
- Next French Presidential Election
- Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Colombia Presidential Election
- Bulgaria Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Argentina Presidential Election Winner
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