GeoOdds

Colombia Presidential Election Odds

$36.6M total volume$120K 24hResolves by June 21, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
88%implied chance
+1.0pp24h

Abelardo de la Espriella

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Abelardo de la Espriella88%
  2. 2
    Candidate M50%
  3. 3
    Iván Cepeda Castro13%
  4. 4
    Vicky Dávila (IND)<1%
  5. 5
    Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)<1%
  6. 6
    Claudia López (IND)<1%
  7. ·
    Others (20 outcomes)<1%
Implied
87.5%
American
-700
Decimal
1.14
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Colombia Presidential Election?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 88% — roughly -700 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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