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Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? Odds

$2.0M total volume$3K 24hResolves by November 7, 2028Polymarket, 10-min refresh
59%implied chance
+1.0pp24h

Democratic

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Democratic59%
  2. 2
    Republican41%
  3. 3
    Party K—
  4. 4
    Party L—
  5. 5
    Other—
  6. 6
    Party H—
  7. ·
    Others (9 outcomes)<1%
Implied
58.5%
American
-141
Decimal
1.71
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 59% — roughly -141 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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