GeoOdds

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Odds

$656.3M total volume$541K 24hResolves by November 7, 2028Polymarket, 10-min refresh
49%implied chance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Probability over time

No price history yet

Current standings

  1. 1
    Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
  2. 2
    J.D. Vance34%
  3. 3
    Marco Rubio23%
  4. 4
    Tucker Carlson6%
  5. 5
    Ron DeSantis3%
  6. 6
    Donald Trump Jr.3%
  7. ·
    Others (122 outcomes)29%
Implied
49%
American
+104
Decimal
2.04
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 49% — roughly +104 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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