Presidential Election Winner 2028 Odds
JD Vance
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1JD Vance19%
- 2Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- 3Jon Ossoff10%
- 4Gavin Newsom9%
- 5Marco Rubio8%
- 6Kamala Harris5%
- ·Others (122 outcomes)26%
- Implied
- 19.1%
- American
- +425
- Decimal
- 5.25
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Presidential Election Winner 2028?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 19% — roughly +425 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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