GeoOdds

Presidential Election Winner 2028 Odds

$656.9M total volume$1.0M 24hResolves by November 7, 2028Polymarket, 10-min refresh
20%implied chance
+0.1pp24h

JD Vance

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    JD Vance20%
  2. 2
    Marco Rubio14%
  3. 3
    Gavin Newsom12%
  4. 4
    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7%
  5. 5
    Jon Ossoff7%
  6. 6
    Kamala Harris5%
  7. ·
    Others (122 outcomes)31%
Implied
19.9%
American
+404
Decimal
5.04
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Presidential Election Winner 2028?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 20% — roughly +404 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

Related markets

Trade this on Polymarket →

Fee-free geopolitics markets. 18+.