Argentina Presidential Election Winner Odds

Q: What are the odds of Argentina Presidential Election Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 53% — roughly -113 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

Q: What does this market resolve on?

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Q: Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

$642K total volume$1K 24hResolves by October 24, 2027Polymarket, 10-min refresh

53%implied chance

-0.5pp24h

Javier Milei

last 24h

Probability over time

30D90D

Current standings

1
Javier Milei53%
2
Axel Kicillof36%
3
Sergio Massa7%
4
Myriam Bregman3%
5
Dante Gebel2%
6
Juan Grabois<1%
·
Others (58 outcomes)2%

Implied: 53%
American: -113
Decimal: 1.89

Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Argentina Presidential Election Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 53% — roughly -113 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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