Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election Odds
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Umaro Sissoco Embaló11%
- 2Fernando Dias da Costa7%
- 3João Bernardo Vieira3%
- 4José Mário Vaz2%
- 5Mamadu Iaia Djaló2%
- 6Mário da Silva Júnior2%
- ·Others (33 outcomes)7%
- Implied
- 10.7%
- American
- +839
- Decimal
- 9.39
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 11% — roughly +839 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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