GeoOdds

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Odds

$1.2B total volume$1.2M 24hResolves by November 7, 2028Polymarket, 10-min refresh
23%implied chance
-0.1pp24h

Gavin Newsom

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Gavin Newsom23%
  2. 2
    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9%
  3. 3
    Kamala Harris8%
  4. 4
    Jon Ossoff7%
  5. 5
    Josh Shapiro5%
  6. 6
    Pete Buttigieg4%
  7. ·
    Others (122 outcomes)40%
Implied
23.3%
American
+330
Decimal
4.30
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 23% — roughly +330 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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