Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Odds
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%
- 2Jon Ossoff16%
- 3Gavin Newsom14%
- 4Kamala Harris8%
- 5Josh Shapiro6%
- 6Pete Buttigieg6%
- ·Others (122 outcomes)23%
- Implied
- 19.7%
- American
- +409
- Decimal
- 5.09
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 20% — roughly +409 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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