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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Odds

$1.3B total volume$109K 24hResolves by November 8, 2028Polymarket, 10-min refresh
17%implied chance
+0.5pp24h

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
  2. 2
    Gavin Newsom15%
  3. 3
    Jon Ossoff15%
  4. 4
    Kamala Harris7%
  5. 5
    Josh Shapiro5%
  6. 6
    Pete Buttigieg5%
  7. ·
    Others (122 outcomes)26%
Implied
17.2%
American
+483
Decimal
5.83
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 17% — roughly +483 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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