Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Odds
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
last 24h
Probability over time
- Implied
- 94.4%
- American
- -1686
- Decimal
- 1.06
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 94% — roughly -1686 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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