Alabama Governor Race 2026 — Odds
Kay Ivey is term-limited after nearly a decade in office, and Senator Tommy Tuberville gave up his seat to run as the Trump-endorsed Republican frontrunner. Former Senator Doug Jones gives Democrats a known name, but Alabama's partisan gravity makes the general safe Republican. Markets treat the GOP primary as the de facto election.
Favorite: Tommy Tuberville (R)
Current standings
- 1Tommy Tuberville (R)90%
- 2Doug Jones (D)10%
- 3Option A—
- 4Option B—
- 5Option C—
- 6Option D—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Tommy Tuberville (R)
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Alabama Governor race in 2026?
Tommy Tuberville (R) leads on Polymarket at 90%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.
Is the Alabama governor seat open in 2026?
Yes. Incumbent Kay Ivey (R) is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat. Kay Ivey is term-limited after nearly a decade in office, and Senator Tommy Tuberville gave up his seat to run as the Trump-endorsed Republican frontrunner. Former Senator Doug Jones gives Democrats a known name, but Alabama's partisan gravity makes the general safe Republican. Markets treat the GOP primary as the de facto election.
Where can I trade the Alabama governor odds?
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