Alabama Governor Race 2026 — Odds
Kay Ivey is term-limited after nearly a decade in office, and Senator Tommy Tuberville gave up his seat to run as the Trump-endorsed Republican frontrunner. Former Senator Doug Jones gives Democrats a known name, but Alabama's partisan gravity makes the general safe Republican. Markets treat the GOP primary as the de facto election.
Favorite: Republican
Current standings
- 1Republican92%
- 2Democrat8%
- 3Option B—
- 4Option D—
- 5Option F—
- 6Option H—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Republican
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Alabama Governor race in 2026?
Republican leads on Polymarket at 92%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.
Is the Alabama governor seat open in 2026?
Yes. Incumbent Kay Ivey (R) is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat. Kay Ivey is term-limited after nearly a decade in office, and Senator Tommy Tuberville gave up his seat to run as the Trump-endorsed Republican frontrunner. Former Senator Doug Jones gives Democrats a known name, but Alabama's partisan gravity makes the general safe Republican. Markets treat the GOP primary as the de facto election.
Where can I trade the Alabama governor odds?
These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.
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