GeoOdds

Alabama U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds

AL · U.S. Senate · Class 2Safe ROpen seat
Incumbent:Open seat

Tommy Tuberville is vacating this seat after one term to run for governor, leaving Republicans to sort out a successor in a primary runoff. Alabama has not elected a Democrat to a full Senate term since the early 1990s, and forecasters rate the general election safe for the GOP. The only real trading interest here is in the Republican nomination contest, not November.

95%implied chance
0.0pp24h

Favorite: Republican

Current standings

  1. 1
    Republican95%
  2. 2
    Democrat6%
  3. 3
    Person A
  4. 4
    Person C
  5. 5
    Person E
  6. 6
    Person G
  7. ·
    Others (7 outcomes)<1%

Probability over time — Republican

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored to win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?

Republican leads on Polymarket at 95%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.

Is the Alabama senate seat open in 2026?

Yes. Incumbent Tommy Tuberville (R) is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat. Tommy Tuberville is vacating this seat after one term to run for governor, leaving Republicans to sort out a successor in a primary runoff. Alabama has not elected a Democrat to a full Senate term since the early 1990s, and forecasters rate the general election safe for the GOP. The only real trading interest here is in the Republican nomination contest, not November.

Where can I trade the Alabama senate odds?

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