Alabama U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds
Tommy Tuberville is vacating this seat after one term to run for governor, leaving Republicans to sort out a successor in a primary runoff. Alabama has not elected a Democrat to a full Senate term since the early 1990s, and forecasters rate the general election safe for the GOP. The only real trading interest here is in the Republican nomination contest, not November.
Favorite: Barry Moore (R)
Current standings
- 1Barry Moore (R)95%
- 2Everett Wess (D)5%
- 3Person A—
- 4Person C—
- 5Person E—
- 6Person G—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Barry Moore (R)
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Barry Moore (R) leads on Polymarket at 95%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.
Is the Alabama senate seat open in 2026?
Yes. Incumbent Tommy Tuberville (R) is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat. Tommy Tuberville is vacating this seat after one term to run for governor, leaving Republicans to sort out a successor in a primary runoff. Alabama has not elected a Democrat to a full Senate term since the early 1990s, and forecasters rate the general election safe for the GOP. The only real trading interest here is in the Republican nomination contest, not November.
Where can I trade the Alabama senate odds?
These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.
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