GeoOdds

Connecticut Governor Race 2026 — Odds

CT · GovernorSafe D
Incumbent:Ned LamontD

Ned Lamont is running for a third term with strong approval ratings and a massive personal fortune to self-fund. Republicans have not won a statewide race in Connecticut since 2006. Every rating outfit scores this safe Democratic, and markets price it accordingly.

96%implied chance
-0.7pp24h

Favorite: Democrat

Current standings

  1. 1
    Democrat96%
  2. 2
    Republican3%
  3. 3
    Option B
  4. 4
    Option D
  5. 5
    Option F
  6. 6
    Option H
  7. ·
    Others (7 outcomes)<1%

Probability over time — Democrat

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored to win the Connecticut Governor race in 2026?

Democrat leads on Polymarket at 96%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe D.

Is Ned Lamont running for re-election?

Ned Lamont (D) is the incumbent in this Connecticut governor race. Ned Lamont is running for a third term with strong approval ratings and a massive personal fortune to self-fund. Republicans have not won a statewide race in Connecticut since 2006. Every rating outfit scores this safe Democratic, and markets price it accordingly.

Where can I trade the Connecticut governor odds?

These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.

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