GeoOdds

Georgia Governor Race 2026 — Odds

GA · GovernorToss-upOpen seat
Incumbent:Open seat

Brian Kemp's term limit opens the governorship in the South's premier battleground, with former Atlanta mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms claiming the Democratic nomination while Republicans head to a runoff. Without Kemp's personal brand on the ballot, markets price this race within a couple points of a coin flip. Paired with the Ossoff Senate contest, Georgia hosts two of 2026's most liquid election markets.

58%implied chance
0.0pp24h

Favorite: Democrat

Current standings

  1. 1
    Democrat58%
  2. 2
    Republican43%
  3. 3
    Option B
  4. 4
    Option D
  5. 5
    Option F
  6. 6
    Option H
  7. ·
    Others (7 outcomes)<1%

Probability over time — Democrat

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored to win the Georgia Governor race in 2026?

Democrat leads on Polymarket at 58%. Forecasters rate the seat Toss-up.

Is the Georgia governor seat open in 2026?

Yes. Incumbent Brian Kemp (R) is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat. Brian Kemp's term limit opens the governorship in the South's premier battleground, with former Atlanta mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms claiming the Democratic nomination while Republicans head to a runoff. Without Kemp's personal brand on the ballot, markets price this race within a couple points of a coin flip. Paired with the Ossoff Senate contest, Georgia hosts two of 2026's most liquid election markets.

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