Georgia U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds
Jon Ossoff is the only Democratic incumbent defending a state Trump carried in 2024, making Georgia the GOP's top offensive target. Republicans are settling their nominee in a bruising June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and former football coach Derek Dooley after Buddy Carter missed the cut. Markets have drifted toward Ossoff as the Republican field bloodied itself, but this remains a marquee contract for Senate-control math.
Favorite: Jon Ossoff (D)
Current standings
- 1Jon Ossoff (D) 92%
- 2Mike Collins (R)7%
- 3Person D—
- 4Person H—
- 5Person B—
- 6Person F—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Jon Ossoff (D)
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Jon Ossoff (D) leads on Polymarket at 92%. Forecasters rate the seat Lean D.
Is Jon Ossoff running for re-election?
Jon Ossoff (D) is the incumbent in this Georgia senate race. Jon Ossoff is the only Democratic incumbent defending a state Trump carried in 2024, making Georgia the GOP's top offensive target. Republicans are settling their nominee in a bruising June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and former football coach Derek Dooley after Buddy Carter missed the cut. Markets have drifted toward Ossoff as the Republican field bloodied itself, but this remains a marquee contract for Senate-control math.
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