Georgia U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds
Jon Ossoff is the only Democratic incumbent defending a state Trump carried in 2024, making Georgia the GOP's top offensive target. Republicans are settling their nominee in a bruising June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and former football coach Derek Dooley after Buddy Carter missed the cut. Markets have drifted toward Ossoff as the Republican field bloodied itself, but this remains a marquee contract for Senate-control math.
Favorite: Democrat
Current standings
- 1Democrat85%
- 2Republican16%
- 3Person D—
- 4Person H—
- 5Person B—
- 6Person F—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Democrat
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Democrat leads on Polymarket at 85%. Forecasters rate the seat Lean D.
Is Jon Ossoff running for re-election?
Jon Ossoff (D) is the incumbent in this Georgia senate race. Jon Ossoff is the only Democratic incumbent defending a state Trump carried in 2024, making Georgia the GOP's top offensive target. Republicans are settling their nominee in a bruising June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and former football coach Derek Dooley after Buddy Carter missed the cut. Markets have drifted toward Ossoff as the Republican field bloodied itself, but this remains a marquee contract for Senate-control math.
Where can I trade the Georgia senate odds?
These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.
Fee-free geopolitics markets. 18+.