Idaho Governor Race 2026 — Odds
Brad Little is running for a third term against Democrat Terri Pickens in one of the most Republican states in the country. His main career risk has always been a primary challenge from his right, not a general election. Markets price this as a near-lock Republican hold.
Favorite: Republican
Current standings
- 1Republican95%
- 2Democrat3%
- 3Option B—
- 4Option D—
- 5Option F—
- 6Option H—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Republican
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Idaho Governor race in 2026?
Republican leads on Polymarket at 95%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.
Is Brad Little running for re-election?
Brad Little (R) is the incumbent in this Idaho governor race. Brad Little is running for a third term against Democrat Terri Pickens in one of the most Republican states in the country. His main career risk has always been a primary challenge from his right, not a general election. Markets price this as a near-lock Republican hold.
Where can I trade the Idaho governor odds?
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