Illinois Governor Race 2026 — Odds
J.B. Pritzker is seeking a third term in a rematch with Darren Bailey, whom he beat by double digits in 2022, all while positioning himself as a leading 2028 contender. Illinois is rated safe Democratic by every forecaster. The more interesting market is whether Pritzker finishes the term he is about to win.
Favorite: Democrat
Current standings
- 1Democrat92%
- 2Republican8%
- 3Option C—
- 4Option G—
- 5Other—
- 6Option D—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Democrat
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Illinois Governor race in 2026?
Democrat leads on Polymarket at 92%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe D.
Is J.B. Pritzker running for re-election?
J.B. Pritzker (D) is the incumbent in this Illinois governor race. J.B. Pritzker is seeking a third term in a rematch with Darren Bailey, whom he beat by double digits in 2022, all while positioning himself as a leading 2028 contender. Illinois is rated safe Democratic by every forecaster. The more interesting market is whether Pritzker finishes the term he is about to win.
Where can I trade the Illinois governor odds?
These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.
Fee-free geopolitics markets. 18+.