Maine Governor Race 2026 — Odds
Janet Mills is term-limited and spending her political capital on a Senate run against Susan Collins instead, leaving an open governorship in a state that leans blue but elected Paul LePage twice. Democrats are favored, with markets pricing the hold near 87 percent. Watch for an independent candidacy — Maine's history makes third-lane scenarios more than theoretical.
Favorite: Democrat
Current standings
- 1Democrat95%
- 2Republican5%
- 3Option A—
- 4Option E—
- 5Option I—
- 6Option B—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Democrat
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Maine Governor race in 2026?
Democrat leads on Polymarket at 95%. Forecasters rate the seat Likely D.
Is the Maine governor seat open in 2026?
Yes. Incumbent Janet Mills (D) is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat. Janet Mills is term-limited and spending her political capital on a Senate run against Susan Collins instead, leaving an open governorship in a state that leans blue but elected Paul LePage twice. Democrats are favored, with markets pricing the hold near 87 percent. Watch for an independent candidacy — Maine's history makes third-lane scenarios more than theoretical.
Where can I trade the Maine governor odds?
These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.
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