Maryland Governor Race 2026 — Odds
Wes Moore seeks a second term while batting away constant 2028 presidential speculation. Maryland elected Republican Larry Hogan twice, but no Hogan-caliber challenger has emerged this cycle. Forecasters rate the race safe Democratic and markets barely budge on it.
Favorite: Democrat
Current standings
- 1Democrat94%
- 2Republican5%
- 3Option B—
- 4Option D—
- 5Option F—
- 6Option H—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Democrat
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Maryland Governor race in 2026?
Democrat leads on Polymarket at 94%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe D.
Is Wes Moore running for re-election?
Wes Moore (D) is the incumbent in this Maryland governor race. Wes Moore seeks a second term while batting away constant 2028 presidential speculation. Maryland elected Republican Larry Hogan twice, but no Hogan-caliber challenger has emerged this cycle. Forecasters rate the race safe Democratic and markets barely budge on it.
Where can I trade the Maryland governor odds?
These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.
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