Massachusetts U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds
Ed Markey, in Congress since 1976, is running for another term at age 80, having brushed aside questions about generational turnover. Massachusetts is rated safe Democratic by every forecaster. Any market interest centers on whether a serious primary challenge materializes, not on the general election.
Favorite: Democrat
Current standings
- 1Democrat96%
- 2Republican4%
- 3Person A—
- 4Person C—
- 5Person E—
- 6Person G—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Democrat
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Democrat leads on Polymarket at 96%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe D.
Is Ed Markey running for re-election?
Ed Markey (D) is the incumbent in this Massachusetts senate race. Ed Markey, in Congress since 1976, is running for another term at age 80, having brushed aside questions about generational turnover. Massachusetts is rated safe Democratic by every forecaster. Any market interest centers on whether a serious primary challenge materializes, not on the general election.
Where can I trade the Massachusetts senate odds?
These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.
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