GeoOdds

Massachusetts U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds

MA · U.S. Senate · Class 2Safe D
Incumbent:Ed MarkeyD

Ed Markey, in Congress since 1976, is running for another term at age 80, having brushed aside questions about generational turnover. Massachusetts is rated safe Democratic by every forecaster. Any market interest centers on whether a serious primary challenge materializes, not on the general election.

97%implied chance
+0.1pp24h

Favorite: Ed Markey (D)

Current standings

  1. 1
    Ed Markey (D)97%
  2. 2
    John Deaton (R)2%
  3. 3
    Person A
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    Person C
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    Others (7 outcomes)<1%

Probability over time — Ed Markey (D)

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored to win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?

Ed Markey (D) leads on Polymarket at 97%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe D.

Is Ed Markey running for re-election?

Ed Markey (D) is the incumbent in this Massachusetts senate race. Ed Markey, in Congress since 1976, is running for another term at age 80, having brushed aside questions about generational turnover. Massachusetts is rated safe Democratic by every forecaster. Any market interest centers on whether a serious primary challenge materializes, not on the general election.

Where can I trade the Massachusetts senate odds?

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