GeoOdds

Mississippi U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds

MS · U.S. Senate · Class 2Safe R
Incumbent:Cindy Hyde-SmithR

Cindy Hyde-Smith seeks a second full term against Democratic district attorney Scott Colom, one of the party's better Deep South recruits in years. Forecasters still rate Mississippi safe Republican given its racially polarized electorate, though markets price the hold a touch below other safe seats. A genuine surprise here would require turnout dynamics Mississippi has not produced since the 2018 special.

87%implied chance
-0.5pp24h

Favorite: Republican

Current standings

  1. 1
    Republican87%
  2. 2
    Democrat14%
  3. 3
    Person B
  4. 4
    Person D
  5. 5
    Person F
  6. 6
    Person H
  7. ·
    Others (7 outcomes)<1%

Probability over time — Republican

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored to win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Republican leads on Polymarket at 87%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.

Is Cindy Hyde-Smith running for re-election?

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) is the incumbent in this Mississippi senate race. Cindy Hyde-Smith seeks a second full term against Democratic district attorney Scott Colom, one of the party's better Deep South recruits in years. Forecasters still rate Mississippi safe Republican given its racially polarized electorate, though markets price the hold a touch below other safe seats. A genuine surprise here would require turnout dynamics Mississippi has not produced since the 2018 special.

Where can I trade the Mississippi senate odds?

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