Nebraska U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds
Pete Ricketts, appointed in 2023 and elected to finish the term in 2024, now runs for a full six years — and independent mechanic Dan Osborn is back after holding Deb Fischer under 54 percent in 2024. Osborn's no-party-label populism travels well in Nebraska, and markets price Ricketts in the mid-60s rather than safe territory. The contract is effectively a referendum on whether the Osborn model can finish the job a second time.
Favorite: Pete Ricketts (R)
Current standings
- 1Pete Ricketts (R)69%
- 2Independent31%
- 3Democrat<1%
- 4Person C—
- 5Person E—
- 6Person G—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Pete Ricketts (R)
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Pete Ricketts (R) leads on Polymarket at 69%. Forecasters rate the seat Lean R.
Is Pete Ricketts running for re-election?
Pete Ricketts (R) is the incumbent in this Nebraska senate race. Pete Ricketts, appointed in 2023 and elected to finish the term in 2024, now runs for a full six years — and independent mechanic Dan Osborn is back after holding Deb Fischer under 54 percent in 2024. Osborn's no-party-label populism travels well in Nebraska, and markets price Ricketts in the mid-60s rather than safe territory. The contract is effectively a referendum on whether the Osborn model can finish the job a second time.
Where can I trade the Nebraska senate odds?
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