Ohio Governor Race 2026 — Odds
Mike DeWine is term-limited, and Trump-endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy cleared the Republican field while former health director Amy Acton carries the Democratic banner. Ohio's Republican baseline favors Ramaswamy, but markets price him only around 55 percent — a notably thin edge for a red state. Paired with the Husted-Brown Senate special, Ohio is the densest cluster of 2026 election markets anywhere.
Favorite: Republican
Current standings
- 1Republican54%
- 2Democrat46%
- 3Option B—
- 4Option D—
- 5Option F—
- 6Option H—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Republican
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Ohio Governor race in 2026?
Republican leads on Polymarket at 54%. Forecasters rate the seat Lean R.
Is the Ohio governor seat open in 2026?
Yes. Incumbent Mike DeWine (R) is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat. Mike DeWine is term-limited, and Trump-endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy cleared the Republican field while former health director Amy Acton carries the Democratic banner. Ohio's Republican baseline favors Ramaswamy, but markets price him only around 55 percent — a notably thin edge for a red state. Paired with the Husted-Brown Senate special, Ohio is the densest cluster of 2026 election markets anywhere.
Where can I trade the Ohio governor odds?
These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.
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