Oklahoma Governor Race 2026 — Odds
Kevin Stitt is term-limited after two terms, and the Republican primary — featuring Superintendent Ryan Walters and Attorney General Gentner Drummond among others — will effectively choose his successor. Oklahoma has not elected a Democratic governor since 2006. The general is rated safe Republican; all market interest lives in the primary.
Favorite: Mike Mazzei (R)
Current standings
- 1Mike Mazzei (R)94%
- 2Cyndi Munson (D)7%
- 3Option B—
- 4Option D—
- 5Option F—
- 6Option H—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Mike Mazzei (R)
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Oklahoma Governor race in 2026?
Mike Mazzei (R) leads on Polymarket at 94%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.
Is the Oklahoma governor seat open in 2026?
Yes. Incumbent Kevin Stitt (R) is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat. Kevin Stitt is term-limited after two terms, and the Republican primary — featuring Superintendent Ryan Walters and Attorney General Gentner Drummond among others — will effectively choose his successor. Oklahoma has not elected a Democratic governor since 2006. The general is rated safe Republican; all market interest lives in the primary.
Where can I trade the Oklahoma governor odds?
These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.
New to prediction markets?
New traders get a $20 bonus
Deposit $10 on Polymarket and get a $20 trading bonus to put behind your first call.
Trade this on Polymarket →New Polymarket users only. Bonus is trading credit, expires 30 days after it lands, and terms are set by Polymarket — check the current offer at signup. 18+. Fee-free markets. GeoOdds earns a commission on signups through this link.