GeoOdds

Rhode Island Governor Race 2026 — Odds

RI · GovernorSafe D
Incumbent:Dan McKeeD

Dan McKee, in office since 2021, runs for another term with middling approval but no formidable Republican opposition in deep-blue Rhode Island. His bigger threat is the Democratic primary, where he has been vulnerable before. The general is rated safe Democratic across forecasters.

92%implied chance
0.0pp24h

Favorite: Democrat

Current standings

  1. 1
    Democrat92%
  2. 2
    Republican5%
  3. 3
    Independent2%
  4. 4
    Option C
  5. 5
    Option G
  6. 6
    Other
  7. ·
    Others (7 outcomes)<1%

Probability over time — Democrat

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored to win the Rhode Island Governor race in 2026?

Democrat leads on Polymarket at 92%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe D.

Is Dan McKee running for re-election?

Dan McKee (D) is the incumbent in this Rhode Island governor race. Dan McKee, in office since 2021, runs for another term with middling approval but no formidable Republican opposition in deep-blue Rhode Island. His bigger threat is the Democratic primary, where he has been vulnerable before. The general is rated safe Democratic across forecasters.

Where can I trade the Rhode Island governor odds?

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