South Carolina Governor Race 2026 — Odds
Henry McMaster, the nation's oldest governor, is term-limited, triggering a crowded Republican scramble featuring Attorney General Alan Wilson, Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, and congressional names. Democrat Jermaine Johnson faces steep odds in a state that last elected a Democratic governor in 1998. Safe Republican in November; the GOP runoff is the market that matters.
Favorite: Alan Wilson (R)
Current standings
- 1Alan Wilson (R)94%
- 2Jermaine Johnson (D)6%
- 3Option B—
- 4Option D—
- 5Option F—
- 6Option H—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Alan Wilson (R)
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the South Carolina Governor race in 2026?
Alan Wilson (R) leads on Polymarket at 94%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.
Is the South Carolina governor seat open in 2026?
Yes. Incumbent Henry McMaster (R) is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat. Henry McMaster, the nation's oldest governor, is term-limited, triggering a crowded Republican scramble featuring Attorney General Alan Wilson, Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, and congressional names. Democrat Jermaine Johnson faces steep odds in a state that last elected a Democratic governor in 1998. Safe Republican in November; the GOP runoff is the market that matters.
Where can I trade the South Carolina governor odds?
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