South Carolina Governor Race 2026 — Odds
Henry McMaster, the nation's oldest governor, is term-limited, triggering a crowded Republican scramble featuring Attorney General Alan Wilson, Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, and congressional names. Democrat Jermaine Johnson faces steep odds in a state that last elected a Democratic governor in 1998. Safe Republican in November; the GOP runoff is the market that matters.
Favorite: Republican
Current standings
- 1Republican90%
- 2Democrat8%
- 3Option B—
- 4Option D—
- 5Option F—
- 6Option H—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Republican
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the South Carolina Governor race in 2026?
Republican leads on Polymarket at 90%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.
Is the South Carolina governor seat open in 2026?
Yes. Incumbent Henry McMaster (R) is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat. Henry McMaster, the nation's oldest governor, is term-limited, triggering a crowded Republican scramble featuring Attorney General Alan Wilson, Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, and congressional names. Democrat Jermaine Johnson faces steep odds in a state that last elected a Democratic governor in 1998. Safe Republican in November; the GOP runoff is the market that matters.
Where can I trade the South Carolina governor odds?
These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.
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