South Carolina U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds
Lindsey Graham, seeking a fifth term with Trump's endorsement, survived a MAGA-flavored primary challenge and now faces pediatrician Annie Andrews, who has raised serious money for a Democrat in South Carolina. The state's fundamentals keep Graham a strong favorite even with his soft approval numbers. Markets price the hold in the low 80s — competitive enough to list, not enough to sweat.
Favorite: Republican
Current standings
- 1Republican82%
- 2Democrat20%
- 3Person A—
- 4Person C—
- 5Person E—
- 6Person G—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Republican
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Republican leads on Polymarket at 82%. Forecasters rate the seat Likely R.
Is Lindsey Graham running for re-election?
Lindsey Graham (R) is the incumbent in this South Carolina senate race. Lindsey Graham, seeking a fifth term with Trump's endorsement, survived a MAGA-flavored primary challenge and now faces pediatrician Annie Andrews, who has raised serious money for a Democrat in South Carolina. The state's fundamentals keep Graham a strong favorite even with his soft approval numbers. Markets price the hold in the low 80s — competitive enough to list, not enough to sweat.
Where can I trade the South Carolina senate odds?
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