GeoOdds

South Carolina U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds

SC · U.S. Senate · Class 2Likely R
Incumbent:Lindsey GrahamR

Lindsey Graham, seeking a fifth term with Trump's endorsement, survived a MAGA-flavored primary challenge and now faces pediatrician Annie Andrews, who has raised serious money for a Democrat in South Carolina. The state's fundamentals keep Graham a strong favorite even with his soft approval numbers. Markets price the hold in the low 80s — competitive enough to list, not enough to sweat.

82%implied chance
+0.5pp24h

Favorite: Republican

Current standings

  1. 1
    Republican82%
  2. 2
    Democrat20%
  3. 3
    Person A
  4. 4
    Person C
  5. 5
    Person E
  6. 6
    Person G
  7. ·
    Others (7 outcomes)<1%

Probability over time — Republican

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored to win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Republican leads on Polymarket at 82%. Forecasters rate the seat Likely R.

Is Lindsey Graham running for re-election?

Lindsey Graham (R) is the incumbent in this South Carolina senate race. Lindsey Graham, seeking a fifth term with Trump's endorsement, survived a MAGA-flavored primary challenge and now faces pediatrician Annie Andrews, who has raised serious money for a Democrat in South Carolina. The state's fundamentals keep Graham a strong favorite even with his soft approval numbers. Markets price the hold in the low 80s — competitive enough to list, not enough to sweat.

Where can I trade the South Carolina senate odds?

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