Tennessee U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds
Bill Hagerty is cruising toward a second term in a state Republicans win statewide by 20-plus points. With Marsha Blackburn occupied running for governor, Hagerty's race has drawn little attention or money. Safe Republican ratings and high-90s market pricing tell the whole story.
Favorite: Bill Hagerty (R)
Current standings
- 1Bill Hagerty (R)96%
- 2Marquita Bradshaw (D)4%
- 3Person A—
- 4Person C—
- 5Person E—
- 6Person G—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Bill Hagerty (R)
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Bill Hagerty (R) leads on Polymarket at 96%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.
Is Bill Hagerty running for re-election?
Bill Hagerty (R) is the incumbent in this Tennessee senate race. Bill Hagerty is cruising toward a second term in a state Republicans win statewide by 20-plus points. With Marsha Blackburn occupied running for governor, Hagerty's race has drawn little attention or money. Safe Republican ratings and high-90s market pricing tell the whole story.
Where can I trade the Tennessee senate odds?
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