West Virginia U.S. Senate Race 2026 — Odds
Shelley Moore Capito is running for a third term in what has become one of the most Republican states in America, facing Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. With Jim Justice now holding the other seat, the GOP's lock on West Virginia is complete. Ratings and markets agree this is a near-certain hold.
Favorite: Republican
Current standings
- 1Republican96%
- 2Democrat4%
- 3Person A—
- 4Person B—
- 5Person C—
- 6Person G—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Republican
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Republican leads on Polymarket at 96%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.
Is Shelley Moore Capito running for re-election?
Shelley Moore Capito (R) is the incumbent in this West Virginia senate race. Shelley Moore Capito is running for a third term in what has become one of the most Republican states in America, facing Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. With Jim Justice now holding the other seat, the GOP's lock on West Virginia is complete. Ratings and markets agree this is a near-certain hold.
Where can I trade the West Virginia senate odds?
These markets trade on Polymarket — use the Polymarket link on this page to see the live order book. GeoOdds tracks and charts the probabilities but does not take bets. Trading involves risk; 18+ only.
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