Wyoming Governor Race 2026 — Odds
Mark Gordon cannot run again under Wyoming's eight-years-in-sixteen limit, leaving Republicans to pick his successor in the primary. Wyoming delivered Trump his largest 2024 margin of any state, and Democrats have not won the governorship since 2006. Rated safe Republican everywhere; the primary is the only event worth a market.
Favorite: Eric Barlow (R)
Current standings
- 1Eric Barlow (R)97%
- 2Kenneth Casner (D)3%
- 3Option A—
- 4Option C—
- 5Option E—
- 6Option G—
- ·Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Probability over time — Eric Barlow (R)
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the Wyoming Governor race in 2026?
Eric Barlow (R) leads on Polymarket at 97%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R.
Is the Wyoming governor seat open in 2026?
Yes. Incumbent Mark Gordon (R) is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat. Mark Gordon cannot run again under Wyoming's eight-years-in-sixteen limit, leaving Republicans to pick his successor in the primary. Wyoming delivered Trump his largest 2024 margin of any state, and Democrats have not won the governorship since 2006. Rated safe Republican everywhere; the primary is the only event worth a market.
Where can I trade the Wyoming governor odds?
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