Alaska Senate Election Winner Odds
Mary Peltola
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Mary Peltola52%
- 2Dan Sullivan49%
- 3Dustin Darden<1%
- 4Ann Diener<1%
- 5Richard Grayson<1%
- 6Candidate A—
- ·Others (23 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 52%
- American
- -108
- Decimal
- 1.92
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Alaska Senate Election Winner?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 52% — roughly -108 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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