GeoOdds

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner Odds

$107K total volume$2K 24hResolves by October 4, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
56%implied chance
+2.5pp24h

PL

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    PL56%
  2. 2
    UPB44%
  3. 3
    FE Brasil<1%
  4. 4
    PSD<1%
  5. 5
    REPUBLICANOS<1%
  6. 6
    PSDB-CIDADANIA<1%
  7. ·
    Others (36 outcomes)1%
Implied
56%
American
-127
Decimal
1.79
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election. In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 56% — roughly -127 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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