CA-14 Special Election Winner? Odds
Aisha Wahab
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Aisha Wahab>99%
- 2Melissa Hernandez<1%
- 3Wendy Huang<1%
- 4Matt Ortega<1%
- 5Victor Aguilar Jr.<1%
- 6Carin Elam<1%
- ·Others (23 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 99.4%
- American
- -16567
- Decimal
- 1.01
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Polymarket traders currently price this at >99% — roughly -16567 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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