Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote % Odds
Farage 70–80%
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Farage 70–80%41%
- 2Farage 60–70%39%
- 3Farage 80%+13%
- 4Farage 50–60%7%
- 5Farage 40–50%2%
- 6Farage <40%1%
- Implied
- 41.2%
- American
- +143
- Decimal
- 2.43
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 41% — roughly +143 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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