Clacton by-election Winner Odds
Nigel Farage
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Nigel Farage>99%
- 2Person E50%
- 3Person F50%
- 4Person G50%
- 5Person H50%
- 6Person I50%
- ·Others (46 outcomes)>99%
- Implied
- 99.1%
- American
- -10426
- Decimal
- 1.01
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Clacton by-election Winner?
Polymarket traders currently price this at >99% — roughly -10426 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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