GeoOdds

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Odds

$65K total volume$25K 24hResolves by August 11, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
81%implied chance
-4.5pp24h

Luke Bronin

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Luke Bronin81%
  2. 2
    John Larson20%
  3. 3
    Mark Stewart Greenstein<1%
  4. 4
    Jillian Gilchrest<1%
  5. 5
    Ruth Fortune<1%
  6. 6
    Candidate C
  7. ·
    Others (15 outcomes)<1%
Implied
81%
American
-426
Decimal
1.23
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 81% — roughly -426 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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