Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026? Odds

Q: What are the odds of Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 70% — roughly -233 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

Q: What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Q: Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

$2.2M total volume$770K 24hResolves by October 30, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh

70%implied chance

+35.7pp24h

340-359

last 24h

Probability over time

30D90D

Current standings

1
340-35970%
2
360-37928%
3
380-3992%
4
400-419<1%
5
420-439<1%
6
440-459<1%
·
Others (7 outcomes)<1%

Implied: 70%
American: -233
Decimal: 1.43

Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 70% — roughly -233 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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