GeoOdds

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? Odds

$2.1M total volume$525K 24hResolves by November 3, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
33%implied chance
+14.1pp24h

400-419

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    400-41933%
  2. 2
    380-39925%
  3. 3
    420-43919%
  4. 4
    440-4599%
  5. 5
    360-3797%
  6. 6
    460-4794%
  7. ·
    Others (7 outcomes)4%
Implied
32.9%
American
+204
Decimal
3.04
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 33% — roughly +204 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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