Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026? Odds

Q: What are the odds of Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 91% — roughly -953 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

Q: What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 22 12:00 PM ET to September 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Q: Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

$1.9M total volume$582K 24hResolves by September 29, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh

91%implied chance

+46.0pp24h

180-199

last 24h

Probability over time

30D90D

Current standings

1
180-19991%
2
200-21910%
3
220-239<1%
4
240-259<1%
5
260-279<1%
6
280-299<1%
·
Others (11 outcomes)<1%

Implied: 90.5%
American: -953
Decimal: 1.10

Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 22 12:00 PM ET to September 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 91% — roughly -953 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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