GeoOdds

Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026? Odds

$1.4M total volume$413K 24hResolves by October 2, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
39%implied chance
+10.5pp24h

200-219

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    200-21939%
  2. 2
    180-19925%
  3. 3
    220-23925%
  4. 4
    240-2598%
  5. 5
    160-1792%
  6. 6
    260-2792%
  7. ·
    Others (13 outcomes)2%
Implied
39%
American
+156
Decimal
2.56
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 25 12:00 PM ET to October 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 39% — roughly +156 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 25 12:00 PM ET to October 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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