Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026? Odds

Q: What are the odds of Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 64% — roughly -174 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

Q: What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Q: Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

$1.4M total volume$391K 24hResolves by September 11, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh

64%implied chance

+26.0pp24h

160-179

last 24h

Probability over time

30D90D

Current standings

1
160-17964%
2
140-15920%
3
180-19916%
4
200-2191%
5
220-239<1%
6
120-139<1%
·
Others (14 outcomes)<1%

Implied: 63.5%
American: -174
Decimal: 1.57

Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 64% — roughly -174 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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