FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Odds
Thomas Chalifoux
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Thomas Chalifoux28%
- 2Ben Butler27%
- 3Jorge Martinez23%
- 4Dan Green23%
- 5Jorge Malavet<1%
- 6Marcus Carter<1%
- ·Others (15 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 28.5%
- American
- +251
- Decimal
- 3.51
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of FL-09 Republican Primary Winner?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 28% — roughly +251 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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