GeoOdds

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner Odds

$1.7M total volume$459 24hResolves by August 18, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
94%implied chance
+1.5pp24h

Byron Donalds

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Byron Donalds94%
  2. 2
    James Fishback6%
  3. 3
    Jay Collins1%
  4. 4
    Wilton Simpson<1%
  5. 5
    Casey DeSantis<1%
  6. 6
    Matt Gaetz<1%
  7. ·
    Others (17 outcomes)<1%
Implied
93.5%
American
-1438
Decimal
1.07
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 94% — roughly -1438 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming…

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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