Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner Odds
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”40%
- 2PT10%
- 3FLING6%
- 4FREPASNA4%
- 5PS4%
- 6MUNDO-GB 1%
- ·Others (15 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 39.7%
- American
- +152
- Decimal
- 2.52
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 40% — roughly +152 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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