GeoOdds

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? Odds

$81K total volume$1K 24hResolves by January 1, 2027Polymarket, 10-min refresh
89%implied chance
+2.0pp24h

6

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    689%
  2. 2
    79%
  3. 3
    82%
  4. 4
    9<1%
  5. 5
    10+<1%
Implied
88.5%
American
-770
Decimal
1.13
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 89% — roughly -770 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

New to prediction markets?

New traders get a $20 bonus

Deposit $10 on Polymarket and get a $20 trading bonus to put behind your first call.

Trade this on Polymarket →

New Polymarket users only. Bonus is trading credit, expires 30 days after it lands, and terms are set by Polymarket — check the current offer at signup. 18+. Fee-free markets. GeoOdds earns a commission on signups through this link.