James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary? Odds
Fishback 10–15%
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Fishback 10–15%44%
- 2Fishback <10%37%
- 3Fishback 15–20%14%
- 4Fishback 20–25%4%
- 5Fishback 30%+3%
- 6Fishback 25–30%2%
- Implied
- 43.5%
- American
- +130
- Decimal
- 2.30
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 44% — roughly +130 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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